Firstly, let's face facts... bookies are in business for one reason; to take your money.
They employ mathematicians and analysts who study lists of football fixtures, set wafer thin prices and then add their overround (profit margin) on top! How can anyone who bets part-time compete with all that?
Making a long-term profit from 'set and forget' betting is tough and it's only going to get worse!
But trying to identify value is increasingly tough when you're going up against teams of analysts who spend all day, every day investigating football players, teams and leagues.
And even if you could find value on a regular basis, do you think that the bookies would sit back and let you win?
They have the advantage, so what on earth can you do to swing the odds your way?
I always managed to turn a profit, picking out value from a small number of football leagues.
I kept my own database, often working until late at night to keep it fully updated with the statistics I needed to keep winning. For many years this was enough to keep me ahead of the markets, but the bookies caught up.
Slowly but surely, my betting profits started to fall - even though I was still winning just as many bets as ever. The difference was that the markets were getting smarter, offering smaller prices, less value.
I would have dearly loved to keep on as I was, but something had to change... or I was finished.
During the 2012/13 season, 55.8% of English Premier League matches ended over 2.5 goals (3 goals or more) which translates into odds of 1.79. The average odds offered by bookies was also 1.79.
The following season, 2013/14, saw the number of matches ending in over 2.5 goals fall to 51.6% or 1.94. However, the bookies only offered average odds of 1.85... 0.09 below break-even!
In 2014/15 it got even worse! 48.4% of matches ended over 2.5 goals and this translates into odds of 2.07, well above even money. However, the bookies only offered 1.93 on average. That's 0.14 below fair value!
I was really annoyed! I gave it one last attempt in 2016, but simply confirmed that the world had moved on.
It was time to re-think my entire betting and trading philosophy to turn the value back in my favour.
I found myself using betting exchanges more than bookies and my profits started to rise again
My database holds ten seasons worth of data for every football team playing in leagues all over the world.
It applies my value algorithms to all upcoming fixtures in those leagues, constantly scanning the Match Odds, Both Teams to Score and Over 1.5/2.5/3.5 Goals Betfair markets for value opportunities.
My 10 Year Database does all the hard work, so all you have to do is log in and start trading
You will need a betting exchange account so that you're not cut off as soon as you start winning.
You will need a bit of spare time if you decide that you prefer to trade in-play rather than 'set-and-forget' bet.
And that's it... you're ready to log in to the Members Area and start growing your betting bank!
Get immediate access to everything you need:
You're in full control of your subscription. If you decide to cancel your membership for any reason, you can do it immediately.
Professional Football Trader
I started using Betfair when it was very new, right after I had been made redundant. Like most people, I got over excited and blew a number of banks before taking control of my poor discipline and decision making.
In 2005 I started over, winning back my previous losses. Making money from football trading has now become second nature and it is the most wonderful job in the world!
...just follow the green ticks!
No value at all in the goals markets at Vitebsk and it ended 0-0
Some value in the goals markets at Brest and a good trading opportunity
Plenty of value in the goals markets at Gangwon and an excellent winner!
You're in full control of your subscription at all times. If you decide to cancel your membership, you can do it immediately.
I offer all services in good faith and strive to provide a level of customer care far in advance of other service providers. I know that you will stand a much better chance of making a long-term profit by following my value trading methods than you will with many other strategies out there.
In keeping with this, while there is no legal obligation for me to do so, I am happy to offer a full refund for your most recent payment within 7 days of the payment date. You literally have nothing to lose and so much to gain for many months and years to come.
If you feel unhappy with any element of my service, please contact me with full details of what has gone wrong and I will go above and beyond to put it right.
As technology moves on, time becomes less of a factor - or rather, being near to a computer. A lot can be done on the move these days. That helps!
You can choose set-and-forget betting over trading if you really want to, but the additional trading profits are well worth a bit of effort.
You will spend a few seconds opening each trade, then much of the time you won't do a thing until goals are scored. A minute or so here and there for some simple trades is all it takes.
There will be no need to sit in front of your PC for long periods of time, that's for sure!
£1,000 would be ideal, then you have 100pts at £10 each. However, if you're not an experienced trader, it makes sense to start out small until you gain confidence in the strategies.
A number of members have started with £500 banks - or even smaller - and are now enjoying profitable trading.
The most important thing is that it's not money you are relying on to pay bills. Never do that!
There's no way to predict that. You may be an aggressive or conservative trader, completely new to it or very experienced. Perhaps you have a small bank or no time to trade at weekends.
So many factors will determine the amount of profit you will make.
Definitely not! You are in full control of your subscription and you can cancel if ever you wish to in your PayPal account.
You can use any bookmaker when set-and-forget betting, but they will restrict your account as soon as you start making regular profits.
In order to trade, you will need a betting exchange account such as Betfair.
You can trade your bets in any country which allows inplay trading at a betting exchange.
Absolutely! There are a number of summer leagues, so the end of the season in England does not mean the end of trading!
It's impossible to keep results for trading systems; even two people trading the exact same football match will end up with a different profit figure!
You can trade with as little risk as possible or much more aggressively and I will show you lots of different options. You can then decide exactly how much risk you're willing to take.
Software certainly makes trading easier, but it's not necessary. I used nothing but the Betfair website for many years and did just fine.
If you want to try software, I have an exclusive deal with Fairbot which gives you 15 months for the price of 12 - click here.
Do you have any questions I haven't already answered?
Contact me - click here - and I'll be delighted to answer any further questions you have.